Interesting “self-selected” poll from ninemsn with an unfortunate name: “Passion Pulse”.
The Australian Labor Party will romp to a landslide victory at the coming election, and Prime Minister John Howard will lose the seat of Bennelong, a ninemsn poll shows.
Ninemsn’s Passion Pulse, the largest election poll of the 2007 campaign, forecasts an electoral bloodbath for the Coalition, including a loss in Wentworth, the seat held by Malcolm Turnbull.
After surveying more than 50,000 voters, ninemsn can reveal that as many as 20 seats will swing to the Opposition, leaving the ALP with at least 81 seats in the Lower House.
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After two-and-half weeks of polling, a total of 52,976 votes showed Labor in the lead with 53.2 percent of all votes on a two-party preferred basis.
That really is a very large sample and 53.2% is within the margin of error of the regular polls. With age and sex weighting and other correcting techniques by “people who know their onions”, Poll Bludger says this is a “remarkably plausible” electorate poll (except for the title).
So here are the results in a nutshell:
The Liberals gain no seats. The Nationals pick up one: Peter Andren’s seat of Calare.
Labor gains the following 21 seats with 10 too close to call:
NSW: Hughes, Paterson, Page, Bennelong, Eden Monaro, Lindsay, Wentworth, Macquarie
Too close to call: Dobell, Robertson
Qld: Petrie, Longman, Blair, Moreton, Bonner
TCTC: Hinkler, Herbert
SA: Sturt, Makin, Wakefield, Kingston
TAS: Bass, Braddon
TCTC: Dunkley, Gippsland, Corangamite, Deakin
If the ALP gain 21 seats and half of the “too close to call” seats, that would give them 86 seats with 2 independents and the coalition 62
In Other Polling News…
And speaking of knowing your onions, according to the Ã˜nion News Network, apparently American politics is remarkably simiilar to our own species…
BONUS Ã˜NION REPORT:
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